{"id":36262,"date":"2026-06-02T21:00:50","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T03:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262"},"modified":"2026-06-02T21:00:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T03:00:50","slug":"quien-ganara-el-mundial-2026-segun-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00e1 el Mundial 2026, seg\u00fan Goldman Sachs?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La selecci\u00f3n de Espa\u00f1a es la principal favorita para ganar la Copa del Mundo de 2026, de acuerdo con una proyecci\u00f3n elaborada por Goldman Sachs mediante un modelo estad\u00edstico que analiza el desempe\u00f1o de las selecciones nacionales.<br><br>Seg\u00fan el informe, el conjunto espa\u00f1ol tiene una probabilidad del 26 por ciento de quedarse con el campeonato, superando a otras potencias como Francia, que aparece con un 19 por ciento, y Argentina, vigente campeona del mundo, con un 14 por ciento.<br><br>Para realizar la estimaci\u00f3n, la firma financiera tom\u00f3 en cuenta cerca de 20 mil partidos internacionales disputados desde 1978. El an\u00e1lisis incorpora variables como resultados recientes, capacidad ofensiva, fortaleza de los rivales, clasificaci\u00f3n Elo y otros factores que influyen en el rendimiento de los equipos.<br><br>La proyecci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n coloca a Brasil entre los principales aspirantes al t\u00edtulo, aunque con menores probabilidades de coronarse. Inglaterra y Pa\u00edses Bajos completan el grupo de selecciones con mayores opciones de llegar a las instancias finales del torneo.<br><br>De acuerdo con las simulaciones realizadas por Goldman Sachs, Espa\u00f1a llegar\u00eda hasta la final y derrotar\u00eda a Argentina para conquistar el que ser\u00eda su segundo campeonato mundial. No obstante, el estudio reconoce que factores como lesiones, cambios de plantilla o resultados inesperados pueden modificar cualquier pron\u00f3stico antes del inicio de la competencia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026 La selecci\u00f3n de Espa\u00f1a es la principal favorita para ganar la Copa del Mundo de 2026, de acuerdo con una proyecci\u00f3n &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262\" class=\"more-link\">Contin\u00faa leyendo <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00e1 el Mundial 2026, seg\u00fan Goldman Sachs?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":232456897,"featured_media":36261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_8025747037436539_114477521595495":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"#Mundial2026 | La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026\n\n#TVP #Noticias #ElPoderDeLaInformaci\u00f3n","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[889,27730,783],"tags":[537359,537300,29750],"class_list":["post-36262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-deportes","category-informacion-general","category-mexico","tag-mundial","tag-nacionales","tag-portada","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/peDonN-9qS","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":36306,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36306","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":0},"title":"El pronosticador que acert\u00f3 los \u00faltimos tres Mundiales lanza su predicci\u00f3n para 2026","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"5 de junio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Joachim Klement anticip\u00f3 correctamente los t\u00edtulos de Alemania, Francia y Argentina; ahora su modelo proyecta una final in\u00e9dita para la pr\u00f3xima Copa del MundoA d\u00edas del inicio del Mundial de 2026, una nueva predicci\u00f3n ha comenzado a llamar la atenci\u00f3n de los aficionados al futbol. Joachim Klement, economista alem\u00e1n que\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-16371316-1780537707568.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-16371316-1780537707568.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-16371316-1780537707568.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-16371316-1780537707568.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-16371316-1780537707568.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36387,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36387","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":1},"title":"Mundial 2026 romper\u00e1 r\u00e9cord de ingresos para FIFA","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"8 de junio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La Copa del Mundo de 2026 generar\u00eda 8 mil 900 millones de d\u00f3lares para la FIFA, impulsada por m\u00e1s partidos, patrocinios, derechos de transmisi\u00f3n y venta de boletos La FIFA prev\u00e9 obtener ingresos hist\u00f3ricos por 8 mil 900 millones de d\u00f3lares durante 2026 gracias a la Copa del Mundo que\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-273910942-1780760377773.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-273910942-1780760377773.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-273910942-1780760377773.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-273910942-1780760377773.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-273910942-1780760377773.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":37448,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=37448","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":2},"title":"Solo ocho selecciones han sido campeonas del Mundial","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"14 de julio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"A un siglo del primer Mundial, ninguna naci\u00f3n nueva ha logrado conquistar el t\u00edtulo desde Espa\u00f1a en 2010A cien a\u00f1os de la primera Copa del Mundo y con las semifinales de la edici\u00f3n 2026 definidas, el futbol internacional mantiene intacto el dominio de apenas ocho selecciones campeonas. Inglaterra, Argentina, Francia\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260713_113349_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260713_113349_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260713_113349_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260713_113349_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260713_113349_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":37418,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=37418","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":3},"title":"Fallece Jayden Adams tras jugar el Mundial 2026","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"11 de julio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"El futbolista sudafricano ten\u00eda 25 a\u00f1os; enfrent\u00f3 a M\u00e9xico durante la fase de grupos de la copa del mundo El futbol internacional se encuentra de luto tras confirmarse la muerte de Jayden Adams, mediocampista de la selecci\u00f3n de Sud\u00e1frica. La noticia fue dada a conocer este s\u00e1bado por el Ministerio\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260711_100729_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260711_100729_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260711_100729_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260711_100729_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/Portada-nota-TVP_20260711_100729_0000.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":35710,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=35710","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":4},"title":"Imagine Dragons y Grupo Firme encabezar\u00e1n FIFA Fan Fest Monterrey 2026","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"15 de mayo de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La cuenta regresiva rumbo al Mundial de 2026 ya comenz\u00f3 y Monterrey prepara una de las celebraciones m\u00e1s importantes para los aficionados al futbol. Entre los artistas confirmados para el FIFA Fan Fest destacan Imagine Dragons y Grupo Firme, adem\u00e1s de otros exponentes nacionales e internacionales que se presentar\u00e1n durante\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36281,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36281","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":5},"title":"El Mundial 2026 apunta a romper otro r\u00e9cord fuera de la cancha","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"3 de junio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La Copa del Mundo que organizar\u00e1n M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 podr\u00eda generar m\u00e1s de 50 mil millones de d\u00f3lares en apuestas deportivasLa Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 no solo promete romper r\u00e9cords dentro de la cancha. Especialistas de la industria estiman que el torneo generar\u00e1 m\u00e1s de 50\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-1215026863-1780432990790.png?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/232456897"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36262"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36282,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262\/revisions\/36282"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}