{"id":36262,"date":"2026-06-02T21:00:50","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T03:00:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262"},"modified":"2026-06-02T21:00:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T03:00:50","slug":"quien-ganara-el-mundial-2026-segun-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00e1 el Mundial 2026, seg\u00fan Goldman Sachs?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">La selecci\u00f3n de Espa\u00f1a es la principal favorita para ganar la Copa del Mundo de 2026, de acuerdo con una proyecci\u00f3n elaborada por Goldman Sachs mediante un modelo estad\u00edstico que analiza el desempe\u00f1o de las selecciones nacionales.<br><br>Seg\u00fan el informe, el conjunto espa\u00f1ol tiene una probabilidad del 26 por ciento de quedarse con el campeonato, superando a otras potencias como Francia, que aparece con un 19 por ciento, y Argentina, vigente campeona del mundo, con un 14 por ciento.<br><br>Para realizar la estimaci\u00f3n, la firma financiera tom\u00f3 en cuenta cerca de 20 mil partidos internacionales disputados desde 1978. El an\u00e1lisis incorpora variables como resultados recientes, capacidad ofensiva, fortaleza de los rivales, clasificaci\u00f3n Elo y otros factores que influyen en el rendimiento de los equipos.<br><br>La proyecci\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n coloca a Brasil entre los principales aspirantes al t\u00edtulo, aunque con menores probabilidades de coronarse. Inglaterra y Pa\u00edses Bajos completan el grupo de selecciones con mayores opciones de llegar a las instancias finales del torneo.<br><br>De acuerdo con las simulaciones realizadas por Goldman Sachs, Espa\u00f1a llegar\u00eda hasta la final y derrotar\u00eda a Argentina para conquistar el que ser\u00eda su segundo campeonato mundial. No obstante, el estudio reconoce que factores como lesiones, cambios de plantilla o resultados inesperados pueden modificar cualquier pron\u00f3stico antes del inicio de la competencia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026 La selecci\u00f3n de Espa\u00f1a es la principal favorita para ganar la Copa del Mundo de 2026, de acuerdo con una proyecci\u00f3n &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36262\" class=\"more-link\">Contin\u00faa leyendo <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u00bfQui\u00e9n ganar\u00e1 el Mundial 2026, seg\u00fan Goldman Sachs?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":232456897,"featured_media":36261,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"facebook_8025747037436539_114477521595495":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"#Mundial2026 | La firma financiera utiliz\u00f3 un modelo estad\u00edstico para proyectar al posible campe\u00f3n de la Copa del Mundo de 2026\n\n#TVP #Noticias #ElPoderDeLaInformaci\u00f3n","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"_wpas_customize_per_network":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[889,27730,783],"tags":[537359,537300,29750],"class_list":["post-36262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-deportes","category-informacion-general","category-mexico","tag-mundial","tag-nacionales","tag-portada","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-1215026863-1780432990790.png?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":false,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/peDonN-9qS","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":35710,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=35710","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":0},"title":"Imagine Dragons y Grupo Firme encabezar\u00e1n FIFA Fan Fest Monterrey 2026","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"15 de mayo de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La cuenta regresiva rumbo al Mundial de 2026 ya comenz\u00f3 y Monterrey prepara una de las celebraciones m\u00e1s importantes para los aficionados al futbol. Entre los artistas confirmados para el FIFA Fan Fest destacan Imagine Dragons y Grupo Firme, adem\u00e1s de otros exponentes nacionales e internacionales que se presentar\u00e1n durante\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image375499555-1778880489089.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31682,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=31682","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":1},"title":"Ir al Mundial 2026 ya no ser\u00e1 un lujo, FIFA baja el precio de los boletos","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"18 de diciembre de 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"La FIFA decidi\u00f3 modificar sus estrategias de venta de boletos para el Mundial 2026 tras las quejas de aficionados por los altos costos iniciales y pone a disposici\u00f3n entradas m\u00e1s accesibles para que m\u00e1s personas puedan vivir la fiesta del f\u00fatbol.La Federaci\u00f3n Internacional de F\u00fatbol Asociaci\u00f3n anunci\u00f3 que ofrecer\u00e1 un\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/images-2025-12-08T143313.194.jpeg?fit=739%2C415&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/images-2025-12-08T143313.194.jpeg?fit=739%2C415&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/images-2025-12-08T143313.194.jpeg?fit=739%2C415&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/images-2025-12-08T143313.194.jpeg?fit=739%2C415&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36281,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=36281","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":2},"title":"El Mundial 2026 apunta a romper otro r\u00e9cord fuera de la cancha","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"3 de junio de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La Copa del Mundo que organizar\u00e1n M\u00e9xico, Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1 podr\u00eda generar m\u00e1s de 50 mil millones de d\u00f3lares en apuestas deportivasLa Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026 no solo promete romper r\u00e9cords dentro de la cancha. Especialistas de la industria estiman que el torneo generar\u00e1 m\u00e1s de 50\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/image_editor_output_image-59952625-1780454731637.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":35922,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=35922","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":3},"title":"Fraudes por boletos y viajes del Mundial 2026 aumentan","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"24 de mayo de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"P\u00e1ginas falsas, paquetes tur\u00edsticos inexistentes y supuestas promociones oficiales encendieron las alertas entre bancos y empresas de ciberseguridad rumbo a la Copa del MundoLa cercan\u00eda de la Copa Mundial 2026 provoc\u00f3 un aumento en fraudes digitales relacionados con boletos, hospedajes, paquetes de viaje y mercanc\u00eda deportiva. Bancos y firmas de\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abInformaci\u00f3n General\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Informaci\u00f3n General","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=27730"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image414952406-1779603674183.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image414952406-1779603674183.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image414952406-1779603674183.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image414952406-1779603674183.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image_editor_output_image414952406-1779603674183.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":33671,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=33671","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":4},"title":"Todos los partidos del Mundial se transmitir\u00e1n en el Z\u00f3calo de CDMX","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"6 de marzo de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La Plaza de la Constituci\u00f3n ser\u00e1 sede de un FIFA Fan Festival donde aficionados podr\u00e1n seguir todos los encuentros del torneo en una pantalla giganteLa Ciudad de M\u00e9xico prepara una de las celebraciones p\u00fablicas m\u00e1s grandes para la Copa del Mundo de 2026. En el Z\u00f3calo capitalino se instalar\u00e1 un\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image_editor_output_image-1570677905-1772769551049.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image_editor_output_image-1570677905-1772769551049.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image_editor_output_image-1570677905-1772769551049.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image_editor_output_image-1570677905-1772769551049.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image_editor_output_image-1570677905-1772769551049.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":32519,"url":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?p=32519","url_meta":{"origin":36262,"position":5},"title":"SAT cobrar\u00e1 ISR a futbolistas extranjeros durante el Mundial 2026","author":"Gamaliel Rodr\u00edguez","date":"22 de enero de 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"La pr\u00f3xima Copa del Mundo tambi\u00e9n traer\u00e1 ajustes fuera de la cancha. M\u00e9xico aplicar\u00e1 reglas fiscales claras a los jugadores extranjeros que disputen partidos en sedes nacionales.El Servicio de Administraci\u00f3n Tributaria estableci\u00f3 que los futbolistas extranjeros que participen en encuentros del Mundial de la FIFA 2026 en territorio mexicano deber\u00e1n\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abDeportes\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"Deportes","link":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/?cat=889"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image_editor_output_image1756449591-1769105543583.jpg?fit=715%2C402&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image_editor_output_image1756449591-1769105543583.jpg?fit=715%2C402&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image_editor_output_image1756449591-1769105543583.jpg?fit=715%2C402&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image_editor_output_image1756449591-1769105543583.jpg?fit=715%2C402&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/232456897"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=36262"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36282,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36262\/revisions\/36282"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/36261"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=36262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=36262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tvpnoticias.com.mx\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=36262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}